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Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 4, "legacyId": "AUD-003", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-003", "Prediction — imported lead": "Communication tech will democratize society and contribute to the USSR’s collapse.", "Primary category — draft": "Economy & society", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Society/Politics", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Intelligent Machines* (1990)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1990", "Target text — legacy": "~1990s", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-003", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 5, "legacyId": "AUD-004", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-004", "Prediction — imported lead": "Portable computers will be much lighter/thinner by ~2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Computing hardware", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Hardware", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-004", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 6, "legacyId": "AUD-005", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-005", "Prediction — imported lead": "Computers will be embedded in clothing and personal accessories by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Computing hardware", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Hardware", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-005", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 8, "legacyId": "AUD-007", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-007", "Prediction — imported lead": "Personal devices will be solid-state (no moving parts) by 2009.", "Primary category — draft": "Computing hardware", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Hardware", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-007", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review. Legacy on-time/achieved label may conflict with its positive drift.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 9, "legacyId": "AUD-008", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-008", "Prediction — imported lead": "Most mobile computing will be by touch/voice, not keyboards, by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Computing hardware", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Hardware", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-008", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review. 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Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 10, "legacyId": "AUD-009", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-009", "Prediction — imported lead": "Most people will store data (music, video, docs) on their own servers by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Networks & communications", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Internet", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-009", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 11, "legacyId": "AUD-010", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-010", "Prediction — imported lead": "Media (music, books, movies) will be distributed mostly digitally by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Media, education & culture", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Media/Digital", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-010", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 12, "legacyId": "AUD-011", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-011", "Prediction — imported lead": "Wired cables will vanish in favor of short-range wireless by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Computing hardware", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Hardware", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-011", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Draft category needs review.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 13, "legacyId": "AUD-012", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-012", "Prediction — imported lead": "High-speed wireless networking will be ubiquitous by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Networks & communications", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Computing/Internet", "Claimed source — legacy": "*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-012", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. 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Do not equate existence/use of drones with dominant warfare or humans being far from battle.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 21, "legacyId": "AUD-020", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-020", "Prediction — imported lead": "Warfare will be dominated by remote weapons/drones by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Security & warfare", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Military/Robotics", "Claimed source — legacy": "*The Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999) [in Warfare section]", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-020", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review. Do not equate existence/use of drones with dominant warfare or humans being far from battle.", "unresolvedQuestions": [ "Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.", "Establish the deadline and full success criteria.", "Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.", "Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes." ], "history": [] }, "provenance": { "inputFile": "kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv", "inputSha256": "dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2", "row": 22, "legacyId": "AUD-021", "raw": { "Record ID": "AUD-021", "Prediction — imported lead": "War will be carried out by autonomous drones by 2010.", "Primary category — draft": "Security & warfare", "Subcategory / secondary tags": "Military/Robotics", "Claimed source — legacy": "*The Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999) [Warfare]", "Source year — unconfirmed": "1999", "Target text — legacy": "2009", "Confirmed deadline year": "", "At-deadline outcome": "UNREVIEWED", "Outcome at review": "UNREVIEWED", "First full-achievement year": "", "Review year": "2026", "Review state": "UNREVIEWED", "Canonical for statistics?": "NO", "Forecast family ID": "", "Parent statement ID": "AUD-021", "Prediction source URL": "", "Page / paragraph / timestamp": "", "Outcome evidence URLs": "", "Success criteria / scope": "", "Original wording checked?": "NO", "Adoption stage / claim type": "", "Date precision / target interval": "", "Review notes": "Imported research lead only. 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