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Portable computers will be much lighter/thinner by ~2010.

Legacy lead · see outcome dispositionResearch snapshot · October 15, 2026
i
Original intake · research history. This lead is preserved as imported. It is not scored or redirected. CANONICALIZE

Retain 2009. Remove the display inconsistency that says ~2010.

Outcome dispositions on the corrected source-matched criteria

Outcome judgments are completed on the linked source-matched criteria. Preserve the original wording/date and this reconciliation; do not represent a corrected scope as a verbatim import.

Lighter and thinner portable computers

Target: see linked record

CORRECT · At deadline: FULFILLED · By review: FULFILLED

K002 →

Excluded from aggregate author accuracy. Conditional wording and related canonical versions are never counted twice.

Disposition sources: P01

01

The original imported lead.

IMPORTED PARAPHRASE · NOT A VERIFIED QUOTATION

Portable computers will be much lighter/thinner by ~2010.

Age of Spiritual Machines (1999)

1999 · Attribution / year unconfirmed
Page, edition, or timestamp not yet established

No verified source URL recorded
Normalized claim
Not established. The testable claim will be written after the original wording is checked.
Success criteria
Not established. Thresholds, adoption requirements, geography, cost, and required technology must be retained during review.
Claim type
Not classified
02

Timeline

PREDICTION MADE1999Unconfirmed source year
ORIGINAL TARGET2009No exact deadline used in statistics
FULL REALIZATION—No achievement year established
Outcome at original deadlineUNREVIEWED
Outcome at reviewUNREVIEWED

Supplied target wording: 2009. No confirmed date is used in calculations. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.

03

The evidence.

No outcome evidence has been verified.

Legacy ratings are preserved in the source package. They have not been accepted as evidence for this assessment.

Capability, adoption, and timing

A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.

04

Research notes & history

Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.

Open questions

  • Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.
  • Establish the deadline and full success criteria.
  • Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.
  • Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes.
Imported from
kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv · CSV row 5
Legacy identifier
AUD-004
Forecast family
Not assigned
Parent statement
AUD-004
File checksum
dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2
Inspect preserved source fields
Record ID
AUD-004
Prediction — imported lead
Portable computers will be much lighter/thinner by ~2010.
Primary category — draft
Computing hardware
Subcategory / secondary tags
Computing/Hardware
Claimed source — legacy
*Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)
Source year — unconfirmed
1999
Target text — legacy
2009
Confirmed deadline year
(blank)
At-deadline outcome
UNREVIEWED
Outcome at review
UNREVIEWED
First full-achievement year
(blank)
Review year
2026
Review state
UNREVIEWED
Canonical for statistics?
NO
Forecast family ID
(blank)
Parent statement ID
AUD-004
Prediction source URL
(blank)
Page / paragraph / timestamp
(blank)
Outcome evidence URLs
(blank)
Success criteria / scope
(blank)
Original wording checked?
NO
Adoption stage / claim type
(blank)
Date precision / target interval
(blank)
Review notes
Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
Legacy import ID
AUD-004
Display status
UNREVIEWED
Drift — years
(blank)
Overdue — years
(blank)
Due and eligible
0
On-time full hit
0
Full realization hit
0
Publication year confirmed
(blank)

Review history

— Evidence v0.2: Retain 2009. Remove the display inconsistency that says ~2010.

— CANONICALIZE: Retain 2009. Remove the display inconsistency that says ~2010. Original record retained; no automatic redirect or score inherited.

Related forecasts.

No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.