Voice-based assistants will handle routine tasks by 2010.

Legacy lead · see outcome dispositionResearch snapshot · October 15, 2026

Original intake · research history. This lead is preserved as imported. It is not scored or redirected. RESTORE QUALIFIERS

Restore ubiquity and frequent animated personas. Do not use Siri 2011 as the first-ever assistant.

Attribution unresolved — outcome conditional on this wording

Voice assistants handle routine tasks by 2009/2010.

Conditional verdict: LATE

At original deadline: PARTLY FULFILLED · By review: FULFILLED

Early speech interfaces were limited; Siri’s 2011 release documents later practical assistance. The sourced visual-avatar/ubiquity version K012 is assessed separately.

The import says 2010 in prose but 2009 in its target cell; later full realization is unchanged.

Excluded from aggregate author accuracy. Conditional wording and related canonical versions are never counted twice.

O10

Reconciled records & related versions

A link can identify a related version, split claim, or unresolved attribution; it does not establish equivalence.

Disposition sources: P01 O10

The original imported lead.

IMPORTED PARAPHRASE · NOT A VERIFIED QUOTATION

Voice-based assistants will handle routine tasks by 2010.

Age of Spiritual Machines (1999)

1999 · Attribution / year unconfirmed
Page, edition, or timestamp not yet established

No verified source URL recorded

Normalized claim: Not established. The testable claim will be written after the original wording is checked.
Success criteria: Not established. Thresholds, adoption requirements, geography, cost, and required technology must be retained during review.
Claim type: Not classified

Timeline

PREDICTION MADE1999Unconfirmed source year

ORIGINAL TARGET2009No exact deadline used in statistics

FULL REALIZATION—No achievement year established

Outcome at original deadlineUNREVIEWED

Outcome at reviewUNREVIEWED

Supplied target wording: 2009. No confirmed date is used in calculations. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.

The evidence.

No outcome evidence has been verified.

Legacy ratings are preserved in the source package. They have not been accepted as evidence for this assessment.

Capability, adoption, and timing

A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.

Research notes & history

Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.

Open questions

Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.
Establish the deadline and full success criteria.
Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.
Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes.

Imported from: kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv · CSV row 15
Legacy identifier: AUD-014
Forecast family: Not assigned
Parent statement: AUD-014
File checksum: dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2

Inspect preserved source fields

Record ID: AUD-014
Prediction — imported lead: Voice-based assistants will handle routine tasks by 2010.
Primary category — draft: AI & software
Subcategory / secondary tags: AI/NLP
Claimed source — legacy: *Age of Spiritual Machines* (1999)
Source year — unconfirmed: 1999
Target text — legacy: 2009
Confirmed deadline year: (blank)
At-deadline outcome: UNREVIEWED
Outcome at review: UNREVIEWED
First full-achievement year: (blank)
Review year: 2026
Review state: UNREVIEWED
Canonical for statistics?: NO
Forecast family ID: (blank)
Parent statement ID: AUD-014
Prediction source URL: (blank)
Page / paragraph / timestamp: (blank)
Outcome evidence URLs: (blank)
Success criteria / scope: (blank)
Original wording checked?: NO
Adoption stage / claim type: (blank)
Date precision / target interval: (blank)
Review notes: Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
Legacy import ID: AUD-014
Display status: UNREVIEWED
Drift — years: (blank)
Overdue — years: (blank)
Due and eligible: 0
On-time full hit: 0
Full realization hit: 0
Publication year confirmed: (blank)

Review history

2026-10-14 — Evidence v0.2: Restore ubiquity and frequent animated personas. Do not use Siri 2011 as the first-ever assistant.

2026-10-15 — RESTORE_QUALIFIERS: Restore ubiquity and frequent animated personas. Do not use Siri 2011 as the first-ever assistant. Original record retained; no automatic redirect or score inherited.

Related forecasts.

No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.