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Full VR systems (high-res, immersion) will be available by 2010.

Legacy lead · see outcome dispositionResearch snapshot · October 15, 2026
i
Original intake · research history. This lead is preserved as imported. It is not scored or redirected. HOLD CRITERION

An Oculus release date does not establish every resolution/immersion/availability condition.

Outcome dispositions on the corrected source-matched criteria

Outcome judgments are completed on the linked source-matched criteria. Preserve the original wording/date and this reconciliation; do not represent a corrected scope as a verbatim import.

Anytime immersive audiovisual virtual reality

Target: see linked record

LATE · At deadline: PARTLY FULFILLED · By review: FULFILLED

K017 →

Excluded from aggregate author accuracy. Conditional wording and related canonical versions are never counted twice.

Disposition sources: P01

01

The original imported lead.

IMPORTED PARAPHRASE · NOT A VERIFIED QUOTATION

Full VR systems (high-res, immersion) will be available by 2010.

The Singularity Is Near (2005)

2005 · Attribution / year unconfirmed
Page, edition, or timestamp not yet established

No verified source URL recorded
Normalized claim
Not established. The testable claim will be written after the original wording is checked.
Success criteria
Not established. Thresholds, adoption requirements, geography, cost, and required technology must be retained during review.
Claim type
Not classified
02

Timeline

PREDICTION MADE2005Unconfirmed source year
ORIGINAL TARGET2010No exact deadline used in statistics
FULL REALIZATION—No achievement year established
Outcome at original deadlineUNREVIEWED
Outcome at reviewUNREVIEWED

Supplied target wording: 2010. No confirmed date is used in calculations. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.

03

The evidence.

No outcome evidence has been verified.

Legacy ratings are preserved in the source package. They have not been accepted as evidence for this assessment.

Capability, adoption, and timing

A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.

04

Research notes & history

Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.

Open questions

  • Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.
  • Establish the deadline and full success criteria.
  • Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.
  • Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes.
Imported from
kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv · CSV row 19
Legacy identifier
AUD-018
Forecast family
Not assigned
Parent statement
AUD-018
File checksum
dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2
Inspect preserved source fields
Record ID
AUD-018
Prediction — imported lead
Full VR systems (high-res, immersion) will be available by 2010.
Primary category — draft
Interfaces & virtual worlds
Subcategory / secondary tags
AR/VR
Claimed source — legacy
*The Singularity Is Near* (2005)
Source year — unconfirmed
2005
Target text — legacy
2010
Confirmed deadline year
(blank)
At-deadline outcome
UNREVIEWED
Outcome at review
UNREVIEWED
First full-achievement year
(blank)
Review year
2026
Review state
UNREVIEWED
Canonical for statistics?
NO
Forecast family ID
(blank)
Parent statement ID
AUD-018
Prediction source URL
(blank)
Page / paragraph / timestamp
(blank)
Outcome evidence URLs
(blank)
Success criteria / scope
(blank)
Original wording checked?
NO
Adoption stage / claim type
(blank)
Date precision / target interval
(blank)
Review notes
Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
Legacy import ID
AUD-018
Display status
UNREVIEWED
Drift — years
(blank)
Overdue — years
(blank)
Due and eligible
0
On-time full hit
0
Full realization hit
0
Publication year confirmed
(blank)

Review history

— Evidence v0.2: An Oculus release date does not establish every resolution/immersion/availability condition.

— HOLD_CRITERION: An Oculus release date does not establish every resolution/immersion/availability condition. Original record retained; no automatic redirect or score inherited.

Related forecasts.

No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.