Medical advances will let 100-year-olds reach 120 by 2020.
No checked film timestamp supports the 2020 100-to-120-year assertion. Do not score an unlocated quotation.
Attribution unresolved — outcome conditional on this wording
Medical advances commonly extend survival from age 100 to age 120 by 2020.
Conditional verdict: WRONG
At original deadline: NOT FULFILLED · By review: NOT FULFILLED
This is read as ordinary, medically enabled survival, not the existence of an exceptionally old person. Population longevity data do not show this transformation; finding the original sentence could change its population or meaning.
Exceptional individuals reaching extreme ages would be a much weaker, different claim.
Excluded from aggregate author accuracy. Conditional wording and related canonical versions are never counted twice.
O16O17Disposition sources:
The original imported lead.
Medical advances will let 100-year-olds reach 120 by 2020.
Publication year unknown · Attribution / year unconfirmed
Page, edition, or timestamp not yet established
- Normalized claim
- Not established. The testable claim will be written after the original wording is checked.
- Success criteria
- Not established. Thresholds, adoption requirements, geography, cost, and required technology must be retained during review.
- Claim type
- Not classified
Timeline
Supplied target wording: 2020. No confirmed date is used in calculations. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.
The evidence.
No outcome evidence has been verified.
Legacy ratings are preserved in the source package. They have not been accepted as evidence for this assessment.
Capability, adoption, and timing
A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.
Research notes & history
Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
Open questions
- Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.
- Establish the deadline and full success criteria.
- Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.
- Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes.
- Imported from
- kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv · CSV row 31
- Legacy identifier
- AUD-030
- Forecast family
- Not assigned
- Parent statement
- AUD-030
- File checksum
- dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2
Inspect preserved source fields
- Record ID
- AUD-030
- Prediction — imported lead
- Medical advances will let 100-year-olds reach 120 by 2020.
- Primary category — draft
- Longevity
- Subcategory / secondary tags
- Longevity
- Claimed source — legacy
- *Transcendent Man* (film, 2009) & interviews
- Source year — unconfirmed
- (blank)
- Target text — legacy
- 2020
- Confirmed deadline year
- (blank)
- At-deadline outcome
- UNREVIEWED
- Outcome at review
- UNREVIEWED
- First full-achievement year
- (blank)
- Review year
- 2026
- Review state
- UNREVIEWED
- Canonical for statistics?
- NO
- Forecast family ID
- (blank)
- Parent statement ID
- AUD-030
- Prediction source URL
- (blank)
- Page / paragraph / timestamp
- (blank)
- Outcome evidence URLs
- (blank)
- Success criteria / scope
- (blank)
- Original wording checked?
- NO
- Adoption stage / claim type
- (blank)
- Date precision / target interval
- (blank)
- Review notes
- Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
- Legacy import ID
- AUD-030
- Display status
- UNREVIEWED
- Drift — years
- (blank)
- Overdue — years
- (blank)
- Due and eligible
- 0
- On-time full hit
- 0
- Full realization hit
- 0
- Publication year confirmed
- (blank)
Review history
— Evidence v0.2: No checked film timestamp supports the 2020 100-to-120-year assertion. Do not score an unlocated quotation.
— QUARANTINE_UNLOCATED_ATTRIBUTION: No checked film timestamp supports the 2020 100-to-120-year assertion. Do not score an unlocated quotation. Original record retained; no automatic redirect or score inherited.
Related forecasts.
No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.