Functional human brain models
Target: 2025
PARTIAL · At deadline: PARTLY FULFILLED · By review: PARTLY FULFILLED
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EXE-026/Longevity
“By the mid-2020s, AI can model the human mind; by 2030s life extenda” (implied continuation)
i
Original intake · research history. This lead is preserved as imported. It is not scored or redirected. QUARANTINE GARBLED COMPOUND
“Life extenda” and an implied date range are not a verifiable prediction. Retain the raw lead but exclude it from scored content.
Attribution unresolved — outcome conditional on this wording
Human mind models in the mid-2020s and life extension in the 2030s.
Conditional verdict: PENDING
At original deadline: NOT DUE · By review: PARTLY FULFILLED
Human brain models are assessed as partial under the 2025 reference deadline (K036); general life extension is too loosely specified in this truncated import, but enabling progress is real. Do not score a dangling phrase as a separate miss.
Unspecified life extension in 2030s
Target: 2039
PENDING · At deadline: NOT DUE · By review: PARTLY FULFILLED
Excluded from aggregate author accuracy. Conditional wording and related canonical versions are never counted twice.
N15N16N40Reconciled records & related versions
A link can identify a related version, split claim, or unresolved attribution; it does not establish equivalence.
K036Effective models of all brain regionsDisposition sources:
01
The original imported lead.
IMPORTED PARAPHRASE · NOT A VERIFIED QUOTATION
“By the mid-2020s, AI can model the human mind; by 2030s life extenda” (implied continuation)
Various Kurzweil interviews (2020–24)
Publication year unknown · Attribution / year unconfirmed
Page, edition, or timestamp not yet established
- Normalized claim
- Not established. The testable claim will be written after the original wording is checked.
- Success criteria
- Not established. Thresholds, adoption requirements, geography, cost, and required technology must be retained during review.
- Claim type
- Not classified
02
Timeline
PREDICTION MADEUnknownUnconfirmed source year
ORIGINAL TARGET2025–2035No exact deadline used in statistics
FULL REALIZATION—No achievement year established
Outcome at original deadlineUNREVIEWED
Outcome at reviewUNREVIEWED
Supplied target wording: 2025–2035. No confirmed date is used in calculations. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.
03
The evidence.
No outcome evidence has been verified.
Legacy ratings are preserved in the source package. They have not been accepted as evidence for this assessment.
Capability, adoption, and timing
A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.
04
Research notes & history
Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
Open questions
- Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.
- Establish the deadline and full success criteria.
- Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.
- Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes.
- Imported from
- kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv · CSV row 86
- Legacy identifier
- EXE-026
- Forecast family
- Not assigned
- Parent statement
- EXE-026
- File checksum
- dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2
Inspect preserved source fields
- Record ID
- EXE-026
- Prediction — imported lead
- “By the mid-2020s, AI can model the human mind; by 2030s life extenda” (implied continuation)
- Primary category — draft
- Longevity
- Subcategory / secondary tags
- Neuroscience / Longevity
- Claimed source — legacy
- *Various Kurzweil interviews (2020–24)*
- Source year — unconfirmed
- (blank)
- Target text — legacy
- 2025–2035
- Confirmed deadline year
- (blank)
- At-deadline outcome
- UNREVIEWED
- Outcome at review
- UNREVIEWED
- First full-achievement year
- (blank)
- Review year
- 2026
- Review state
- UNREVIEWED
- Canonical for statistics?
- NO
- Forecast family ID
- (blank)
- Parent statement ID
- EXE-026
- Prediction source URL
- (blank)
- Page / paragraph / timestamp
- (blank)
- Outcome evidence URLs
- (blank)
- Success criteria / scope
- (blank)
- Original wording checked?
- NO
- Adoption stage / claim type
- (blank)
- Date precision / target interval
- (blank)
- Review notes
- Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
- Legacy import ID
- EXE-026
- Display status
- UNREVIEWED
- Drift — years
- (blank)
- Overdue — years
- (blank)
- Due and eligible
- 0
- On-time full hit
- 0
- Full realization hit
- 0
- Publication year confirmed
- (blank)
Review history
— Evidence v0.2: “Life extenda” and an implied date range are not a verifiable prediction. Retain the raw lead but exclude it from scored content.
— QUARANTINE_GARBLED_COMPOUND: “Life extenda” and an implied date range are not a verifiable prediction. Retain the raw lead but exclude it from scored content. Original record retained; no automatic redirect or score inherited.
Related forecasts.
No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.