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Short-range wireless links reduce peripheral cabling.

Reference judgmentCorrectDisputedResearch snapshot · October 15, 2026
Source confidence & research status
i
Editorial paraphrase · evidence v0.3. AI-assisted editorial assessments; original book editions not independently collated. Attribution and outcome confidence are recorded separately.

Source state: TEXT CONFIRMED IN LISTED SOURCE.

Attribution confidence
MEDIUM
Outcome confidence · deadline / review
MEDIUM / MEDIUM
Timing confidence / kind
MEDIUM · DOCUMENTED BY
Population
Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.

Our reading of the claim

Reference (stated reasonable reading)

Correct

Criterion: Wireless links substantially displace short peripheral cables in ordinary use; “disappearing” describes a trend, not zero cables.

Deadline: 2009 · Included in this comparison

At original deadlineFULFILLED
By review dateFULFILLED

Commercial Bluetooth keyboards/mice and ordinary Wi-Fi demonstrate the predicted transition by 2009. The broad direction holds. Charging leads and remaining monitor cables are not evidence that the trend failed.

Deadline and follow-up notes

At deadline: Commercial Bluetooth keyboards/mice and ordinary Wi-Fi demonstrate the predicted transition by 2009.

By review: The broad direction holds. Charging leads and remaining monitor cables are not evidence that the trend failed.

Evidence: O08 (opens in a new tab)O09 (opens in a new tab)

View this reading in the scorecard →
01

The forecast and its attribution.

EDITORIAL PARAPHRASE

Short-range wireless links reduce peripheral cabling.

How My Predictions Are Faring — Ray Kurzweil

1999 · Attribution / year unconfirmed
The Computer Itself, prediction 12, printed p. 20

AUTHOR RETROSPECTIVE REPRINT

Source publication: 2010-10 · Access: text checked

Official author archive. Cover says October 2010, but the available file contains later updates. Reprinted forecast passages are used for attribution; the author’s favorable self-grades are not independent outcome evidence. Original book editions were not inspected. Page locators below are PRINTED pages, not PDF viewer indices.

Catalogue entry P01
Open listed source (opens in a new tab)
Normalized claim
Short-range wireless links reduce peripheral cabling.
Success criteria
Wireless links substantially displace short peripheral cables in ordinary use; “disappearing” describes a trend, not zero cables.
Claim type
Capability
02

Timeline

PREDICTION MADE1999Attributed forecast year; original edition not collated
ORIGINAL TARGET2009Deadline supplied by this assessment
FULL REALIZATIONBy 2009Evidence bound, not first achievement year

DOCUMENTED BY: Documented by 2009

Outcome at original deadlineFULFILLED
Outcome at reviewFULFILLED

Supplied target wording: 2009. The original deadline is preserved if a later forecast revises it. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.

03

The evidence.

SUPPORTS · 2003-09-16

Apple introduces wireless keyboard and mouse (opens in a new tab)

Opening Bluetooth product description and cable-replacement feature paragraphs. Apple introduced Bluetooth keyboards and mice in September 2003, directly supporting peripheral cable substitution. Evidence limits: The release does not show that monitor cables or power leads were eliminated.

Source checked as of 2026-10-18
PRIMARY PRODUCT RELEASE

Source publication: 2003-09-16 · Access: reused checked source

Section locator and support checked 2026-10-18 in the citation supplement.

Catalogue entry O08
CONTEXT · 2009-07-22

Wireless Internet Use — Pew Research Center (opens in a new tab)

US adult survey. Ever-used wireless access is not a majority-of-traffic measure and is not global coverage.. US adult survey. Ever-used wireless access is not a majority-of-traffic measure and is not global coverage.

Source checked as of 2026-10-15
PRIMARY SURVEY

Source publication: 2009-07-22 · Access: reused checked source

US adult survey. Ever-used wireless access is not a majority-of-traffic measure and is not global coverage.

Section locator and support checked 2026-10-18 in the citation supplement.

Catalogue entry O09

Capability, adoption, and timing

A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.

i
Alternative interpretation: Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.
04

Research notes & history

Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.

Open questions

  • Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment.
  • An earlier documented instance could refine timing; the documented-by date is not claimed to be the invention year.
Imported from
kurzweil_verification_v0_3_package/predictions.canonical.v0.3.json
Legacy identifier
None
Forecast family
K009
Parent statement
Not assigned
File checksum
93ae54d9ea2f1bd1817c481b85e2b707812bcd934c74d0f1715fa098d9b5f51b
Inspect preserved source fields
release_record
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Review history

— Evidence v0.2: PARTIAL. Bluetooth keyboards and mice were shipping years before 2009. This supports meaningful substitution, but does not establish the whole range of links, including displays. The intake’s “cables will vanish” wording was too absolute. Change: Complete deadline/current outcome assessment under explicit scope; separate uncertainty from verdict.

— Evidence v0.3: EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE; supplied verdict CORRECT. Commercial Bluetooth keyboards/mice and ordinary Wi-Fi demonstrate the predicted transition by 2009. The broad direction holds. Charging leads and remaining monitor cables are not evidence that the trend failed.

— citation-supplement-2026-10-18: 1 primary citation checks/additions. Primary citation locators, source-specific support limits and additional corroborating references; no changes to verdicts, eligibility or timing judgments.

Related forecasts.

No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.