- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"MEDIUM","at_review":"MEDIUM"},"timing_confidence":"MEDIUM","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Practical see-through head-worn displays project imagery onto the retina and are used, without a mass-adoption requirement.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Microvision’s Nomad retinal display was deployed in a dealership in 2004, establishing practical use before 2009. This is a capability/use success, even though the product was specialized rather than popular fashion eyewear.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2004,"at_deadline_rationale":"Microvision’s Nomad retinal display was deployed in a dealership in 2004, establishing practical use before 2009.","at_review_rationale":"This is a capability/use success, even though the product was specialized rather than popular fashion eyewear.","evidence_source_ids":["N04"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"The retinal display is built into ordinary eyeglass-form eyewear rather than a headband/industrial head-mounted unit.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"The located deployment is materially similar optical technology but not the exact eyeglass form. The strict mechanical-form reading remains partial.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"ALTERNATIVE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"evidence_source_ids":["N04"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Practical see-through head-worn displays project imagery onto the retina and are used, without a mass-adoption requirement.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Microvision’s Nomad retinal display was deployed in a dealership in 2004, establishing practical use before 2009. This is a capability/use success, even though the product was specialized rather than popular fashion eyewear.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2004,"at_deadline_rationale":"Microvision’s Nomad retinal display was deployed in a dealership in 2004, establishing practical use before 2009.","at_review_rationale":"This is a capability/use success, even though the product was specialized rather than popular fashion eyewear.","evidence_source_ids":["N04"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":2004,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"DOCUMENTED_BY","label":"Documented by 2004","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[{"from_version":"0.2","previous_assessment":{"review_state":"SOURCE_CONFIRMED","verdict":"UNREVIEWED","as_of":"2026-10-14","at_deadline":"NOT_ASSESSED","at_review":"NOT_ASSESSED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":false,"benchmark_ready":false,"rationale":"The scope is located. Early retinal-display leads must be checked against manufacturer documentation. Neither “Google Glass appeared in 2013” nor generic VR headset availability establishes a first date or a missed 2009 deadline.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":false,"withheld_reason":"Future, unresolved, intrinsically unscorable, or interpretation-dependent; see assessment."},"change_reason":"Complete deadline/current outcome assessment under explicit scope; separate uncertainty from verdict."}],"is_new_in_v03":false,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K014","slug":"k014-see-through-glasses-with-direct-retinal-projection","title":"See-through glasses with direct retinal projection","prediction_paraphrase":"See-through glasses project imagery directly onto retinas.","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Interfaces & virtual worlds","tags":["laser projection","AR"],"subcategory":"Retinal displays","claim_type":"CAPABILITY","family_id":"K014","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":["DEC-015"],"origin":"LEGACY_RECONCILIATION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ARCHIVE_REPRINT","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"SUPPORTED_BY_LISTED_SOURCE"},"target":{"text":"2009","deadline_year":2009,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2009,"year_end":2009,"interpretation":null},"source_verification":{"state":"TEXT_CONFIRMED_IN_LISTED_SOURCE","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Practical see-through head-worn displays project imagery onto the retina and are used, without a mass-adoption requirement.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Microvision’s Nomad retinal display was deployed in a dealership in 2004, establishing practical use before 2009.","at_review_rationale":"This is a capability/use success, even though the product was specialized rather than popular fashion eyewear.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"CORRECT","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":true,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Microvision’s Nomad retinal display was deployed in a dealership in 2004, establishing practical use before 2009. This is a capability/use success, even though the product was specialized rather than popular fashion eyewear.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":2004,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P01","locator":"The Computer Itself, prediction 17, printed p. 25","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N04","locator":"Microvision-issued release hosted by The Auto Channel: actual industrial deployment. Head-worn see-through retinal display; not ordinary prescription-glasses styling or mass consumer adoption.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment.","An earlier documented instance could refine timing; the documented-by date is not claimed to be the invention year."],"legacy_relations":[{"legacy_id":"DEC-015","relation":"RESTORE_MECHANISM"}]}