- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"MEDIUM","at_review":"MEDIUM"},"timing_confidence":"LOW","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Retinal glasses/contacts with the specified exceptional resolution are routinely worn, not just demonstrated.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Near-eye displays existed in 2019, but mainstream routine use at the asserted acuity did not. Practical headsets/AR prove part of the direction, not routine retinal contacts or acuity above human vision.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Near-eye displays existed in 2019, but mainstream routine use at the asserted acuity did not.","at_review_rationale":"Practical headsets/AR prove part of the direction, not routine retinal contacts or acuity above human vision.","evidence_source_ids":["N04","N05"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"Retinal glasses/contacts with the specified exceptional resolution are routinely worn, not just demonstrated.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Near-eye displays existed in 2019, but mainstream routine use at the asserted acuity did not. Practical headsets/AR prove part of the direction, not routine retinal contacts or acuity above human vision.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Near-eye displays existed in 2019, but mainstream routine use at the asserted acuity did not.","at_review_rationale":"Practical headsets/AR prove part of the direction, not routine retinal contacts or acuity above human vision.","evidence_source_ids":["N04","N05"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Practical consumer immersive/AR near-eye displays are available.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Quest and other head-worn systems satisfy availability by 2019.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":["Routine broad wearing","Retinal implementation and above-human acuity"],"kind":"ALTERNATIVE_READING","documented_by_year":2019,"evidence_source_ids":["N04","N05"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":null,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"UNESTABLISHED","label":"Not fully realized by 2026-10-15; overdue, not an observed delay","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[{"from_version":"0.2","previous_assessment":{"review_state":"SOURCE_CONFIRMED","verdict":"UNREVIEWED","as_of":"2026-10-14","at_deadline":"NOT_ASSESSED","at_review":"NOT_ASSESSED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":false,"benchmark_ready":false,"rationale":"The source is located; the earlier “Google Glass exists” comparison did not test the required mechanism, acuity or adoption. A defensible device/adoption evidence set is still needed.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":false,"withheld_reason":"Future, unresolved, intrinsically unscorable, or interpretation-dependent; see assessment."},"change_reason":"Complete deadline/current outcome assessment under explicit scope; separate uncertainty from verdict."}],"is_new_in_v03":false,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K030","slug":"k030-routine-high-acuity-retinal-displays","title":"Routine high-acuity retinal displays","prediction_paraphrase":"Retinal glasses or contacts are routinely used.","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Interfaces & virtual worlds","tags":["visual acuity","adoption"],"subcategory":"Retinal displays","claim_type":"ADOPTION","family_id":"K030","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":["EXE-009"],"origin":"LEGACY_RECONCILIATION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"ARTICLE_ATTRIBUTION","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"ATTRIBUTED_ARTICLE_YEAR_NOT_ORIGINAL_BOOK_COLLATION"},"target":{"text":"2019","deadline_year":2019,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2019,"year_end":2019,"interpretation":null},"source_verification":{"state":"TEXT_CONFIRMED_IN_LISTED_SOURCE","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Retinal glasses/contacts with the specified exceptional resolution are routinely worn, not just demonstrated.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Near-eye displays existed in 2019, but mainstream routine use at the asserted acuity did not.","at_review_rationale":"Practical headsets/AR prove part of the direction, not routine retinal contacts or acuity above human vision.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"PARTIAL","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":true,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Near-eye displays existed in 2019, but mainstream routine use at the asserted acuity did not. Practical headsets/AR prove part of the direction, not routine retinal contacts or acuity above human vision.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P02","locator":"Computers and communications in 2019: direct-eye displays","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N04","locator":"Microvision-issued release hosted by The Auto Channel: actual industrial deployment. Head-worn see-through retinal display; not ordinary prescription-glasses styling or mass consumer adoption.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"},{"source_id":"N05","locator":"Primary institutional, research, or issuer source. Dates in the claim refer to the observation or product event, not the review date.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment."],"legacy_relations":[{"legacy_id":"EXE-009","relation":"SPLIT_DISTINCT_CAPABILITIES"}]}