- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"MEDIUM","at_review":"MEDIUM"},"timing_confidence":"LOW","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Software supplies enough instruction that teachers primarily handle motivation, well-being and socialization.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Classroom software was real, but the human teacher’s principal instructional role had not generally been displaced in 2009. Digital materials and AI help instruction, yet human teachers remain central knowledge instructors. The claimed role rebalancing remains partial, not merely awaiting a perfect survey.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Classroom software was real, but the human teacher’s principal instructional role had not generally been displaced in 2009.","at_review_rationale":"Digital materials and AI help instruction, yet human teachers remain central knowledge instructors. The claimed role rebalancing remains partial, not merely awaiting a perfect survey.","evidence_source_ids":["N33","N22","N45"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"Software supplies enough instruction that teachers primarily handle motivation, well-being and socialization.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Classroom software was real, but the human teacher’s principal instructional role had not generally been displaced in 2009. Digital materials and AI help instruction, yet human teachers remain central knowledge instructors. The claimed role rebalancing remains partial, not merely awaiting a perfect survey.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Classroom software was real, but the human teacher’s principal instructional role had not generally been displaced in 2009.","at_review_rationale":"Digital materials and AI help instruction, yet human teachers remain central knowledge instructors. The claimed role rebalancing remains partial, not merely awaiting a perfect survey.","evidence_source_ids":["N33","N22","N45"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Software supports instruction and lets teachers spend some more attention on mentoring.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"The direction of classroom augmentation was already present by 2009.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":["Primarily mentoring rather than instructing"],"kind":"ALTERNATIVE_READING","documented_by_year":2009,"evidence_source_ids":["N33","N22","N45"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":null,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"UNESTABLISHED","label":"Not fully realized by 2026-10-15; overdue, not an observed delay","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[],"is_new_in_v03":true,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K058","slug":"k058-teachers-shift-mainly-to-mentoring","title":"Teachers shift mainly to mentoring","prediction_paraphrase":"Teachers shift mainly to mentoring","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Media, education & culture","tags":[],"subcategory":"","claim_type":"ADOPTION","family_id":"K058","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":[],"origin":"NEW_SOURCE_EXTRACTION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_OR_RETROSPECTIVE","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"ATTRIBUTED_1999"},"target":{"text":"2009","deadline_year":2009,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2009,"year_end":2009,"interpretation":"End of named target year."},"source_verification":{"state":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_CHECKED","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Software supplies enough instruction that teachers primarily handle motivation, well-being and socialization.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Classroom software was real, but the human teacher’s principal instructional role had not generally been displaced in 2009.","at_review_rationale":"Digital materials and AI help instruction, yet human teachers remain central knowledge instructors. The claimed role rebalancing remains partial, not merely awaiting a perfect survey.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"PARTIAL","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":true,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Classroom software was real, but the human teacher’s principal instructional role had not generally been displaced in 2009. Digital materials and AI help instruction, yet human teachers remain central knowledge instructors. The claimed role rebalancing remains partial, not merely awaiting a perfect survey.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P02","locator":"P02 Education in 2009, final bullet","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N33","locator":"Primary institutional, research, or issuer source. Dates in the claim refer to the observation or product event, not the review date.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"},{"source_id":"N22","locator":"Institutional context on continuing human teachers, shortages and AI assistance. Normative guidance is not a statistical census of all learning hours.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"},{"source_id":"N45","locator":"96% of public schools provided devices to students who needed them by 2021–22; 23% assigned take-home devices to all students before COVID. Not proof every student owned a sub-pound tablet.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Qualitative role judgment, not a measured global allocation of teacher minutes. UNESCO’s guidance is context, not by itself proof of adoption rates.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment."],"legacy_relations":[]}