- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"MEDIUM","at_review":"MEDIUM"},"timing_confidence":"LOW","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Remote examinations using sight, sound and tactile sensing are widely used.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Audio/video telemedicine and remote-device demonstrations did not make the full visual-auditory-haptic package widespread in 2009. The 37% US adult telemedicine-use figure for 2021 establishes ordinary audio/video care, but not widespread remotely conveyed tactile examination.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Audio/video telemedicine and remote-device demonstrations did not make the full visual-auditory-haptic package widespread in 2009.","at_review_rationale":"The 37% US adult telemedicine-use figure for 2021 establishes ordinary audio/video care, but not widespread remotely conveyed tactile examination.","evidence_source_ids":["N19","N41"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"Remote examinations using sight, sound and tactile sensing are widely used.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Audio/video telemedicine and remote-device demonstrations did not make the full visual-auditory-haptic package widespread in 2009. The 37% US adult telemedicine-use figure for 2021 establishes ordinary audio/video care, but not widespread remotely conveyed tactile examination.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Audio/video telemedicine and remote-device demonstrations did not make the full visual-auditory-haptic package widespread in 2009.","at_review_rationale":"The 37% US adult telemedicine-use figure for 2021 establishes ordinary audio/video care, but not widespread remotely conveyed tactile examination.","evidence_source_ids":["N19","N41"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Visual/audio telemedicine is widely used, with tactile capability an optional extension.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Audio/video use reached an unmistakably common level by 2021.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":["Widespread haptic examination"],"kind":"ALTERNATIVE_READING","documented_by_year":2021,"evidence_source_ids":["N19","N41"],"verdict":"LATE","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":null,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"UNESTABLISHED","label":"Not fully realized by 2026-10-15; overdue, not an observed delay","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[],"is_new_in_v03":true,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K062","slug":"k062-telemedicine-includes-remote-tactile-examinations","title":"Telemedicine includes remote tactile examinations","prediction_paraphrase":"Telemedicine includes remote tactile examinations","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Biology & medicine","tags":[],"subcategory":"","claim_type":"ADOPTION","family_id":"K062","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":[],"origin":"NEW_SOURCE_EXTRACTION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_OR_RETROSPECTIVE","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"ATTRIBUTED_1999"},"target":{"text":"2009","deadline_year":2009,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2009,"year_end":2009,"interpretation":"End of named target year."},"source_verification":{"state":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_CHECKED","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Remote examinations using sight, sound and tactile sensing are widely used.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Audio/video telemedicine and remote-device demonstrations did not make the full visual-auditory-haptic package widespread in 2009.","at_review_rationale":"The 37% US adult telemedicine-use figure for 2021 establishes ordinary audio/video care, but not widespread remotely conveyed tactile examination.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"PARTIAL","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":true,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Audio/video telemedicine and remote-device demonstrations did not make the full visual-auditory-haptic package widespread in 2009. The 37% US adult telemedicine-use figure for 2021 establishes ordinary audio/video care, but not widespread remotely conveyed tactile examination.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P02","locator":"P02 Health care in 2009, telemedicine bullet","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N19","locator":"37% of US adults used phone or video telemedicine in 2021. Does not establish widespread tactile remote examination.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"},{"source_id":"N41","locator":"Describes 2002 Boston–London virtual handshake and networked force feedback; supports emerging remote touch, not full-body realism.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Does not infer telemedicine efficacy or recommend care. The input-modality difference is material and remains visible.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment."],"legacy_relations":[]}