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Wireless phones routinely carry live video

Reference judgmentLateResearch snapshot · October 15, 2026
Source confidence & research status
i
Editorial paraphrase · evidence v0.3. AI-assisted editorial assessments; original book editions not independently collated. Attribution and outcome confidence are recorded separately.

Source state: AUTHOR ADAPTATION CHECKED.

Attribution confidence
MEDIUM
Outcome confidence · deadline / review
MEDIUM / MEDIUM
Timing confidence / kind
MEDIUM · DOCUMENTED BY
Population
Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.

Our reading of the claim

Reference (stated reasonable reading)

Late

Criterion: Wireless personal calls routinely include usable live video, not merely an experimental video phone.

Deadline: 2009 · Included in this comparison

At original deadlinePARTLY FULFILLED
By review dateFULFILLED

Wireless voice and webcam meetings were real, but ordinary handset video calling was not yet routine in 2009. Integrated phone cameras, mobile video services and established consumer communication platforms make the function ordinary by the 2010s.

Deadline and follow-up notes

At deadline: Wireless voice and webcam meetings were real, but ordinary handset video calling was not yet routine in 2009.

By review: Integrated phone cameras, mobile video services and established consumer communication platforms make the function ordinary by the 2010s.

Evidence: N42 (opens in a new tab)N44 (opens in a new tab)N46 (opens in a new tab)

View this reading in the scorecard →
01

The forecast and its attribution.

EDITORIAL PARAPHRASE

Wireless phones routinely carry live video

Spiritual Machines: The Merging of Man and Machine — Ray Kurzweil

1999 · Attribution / year unconfirmed
P02 2009 Computers and communications, telephone-communication paragraph

AUTHORED ARTICLE THIRD PARTY MIRROR

Source publication: 1999 · Access: text checked

Attributed to Kurzweil; closing note identifies adaptation from The Age of Spiritual Machines (1999). An article mirror, not a scan of the book. Text transcription may contain errors. The article’s dollar amounts must not silently replace differently quoted book versions.

Catalogue entry P02
Open listed source (opens in a new tab)
Normalized claim
Wireless phones routinely carry live video
Success criteria
Wireless personal calls routinely include usable live video, not merely an experimental video phone.
Claim type
Adoption
02

Timeline

PREDICTION MADE1999Attributed forecast year; original edition not collated
ORIGINAL TARGET2009Deadline supplied by this assessment
FULL REALIZATIONBy 2019Evidence bound, not first achievement year

DOCUMENTED BY: Documented by 2019; after 2009, no later than 2019

End of named target year.

Outcome at original deadlinePARTLY FULFILLED
Outcome at reviewFULFILLED

Supplied target wording: 2009. The original deadline is preserved if a later forecast revises it. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.

03

The evidence.

CONTEXT · 2007-03-15

Cisco announces acquisition of WebEx (opens in a new tab)

WebEx had more than 2.2 million registered users; evidence of established distributed collaboration, not most employees working from home.. WebEx had more than 2.2 million registered users; evidence of established distributed collaboration, not most employees working from home.

Source checked as of 2026-10-15
PRIMARY RESEARCH OR OFFICIAL

Source publication: 2007-03-15 · Access: web text or indexed extract checked

WebEx had more than 2.2 million registered users; evidence of established distributed collaboration, not most employees working from home.

Catalogue entry N42
CONTEXT · 2017-09-12

Apple: iPhone X and Face ID (opens in a new tab)

Announced September, retail availability November 3, 2017. Documented secure everyday owner recognition; not first-ever face recognition.. Announced September, retail availability November 3, 2017. Documented secure everyday owner recognition; not first-ever face recognition.

Source checked as of 2026-10-15
PRIMARY RESEARCH OR OFFICIAL

Source publication: 2017-09-12 · Access: web text or indexed extract checked

Announced September, retail availability November 3, 2017. Documented secure everyday owner recognition; not first-ever face recognition.

Catalogue entry N44
CONTEXT · 2019-07-11

Microsoft Teams reaches 13 million daily active users (opens in a new tab)

Primary institutional, research, or issuer source. Dates in the claim refer to the observation or product event, not the review date.. Primary institutional, research, or issuer source. Dates in the claim refer to the observation or product event, not the review date.

Source checked as of 2026-10-15
PRIMARY RESEARCH OR OFFICIAL

Source publication: 2019-07-11 · Access: web text or indexed extract checked

Primary institutional, research, or issuer source. Dates in the claim refer to the observation or product event, not the review date.

Catalogue entry N46

Capability, adoption, and timing

A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.

04

Research notes & history

2019 is a conservative documented-by date for routine use, not the invention of video calling. The claim is capability/adoption, not that every call transmits video.

Open questions

  • Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment.
  • An earlier documented instance could refine timing; the documented-by date is not claimed to be the invention year.
Imported from
kurzweil_verification_v0_3_package/predictions.canonical.v0.3.json
Legacy identifier
None
Forecast family
K069
Parent statement
Not assigned
File checksum
93ae54d9ea2f1bd1817c481b85e2b707812bcd934c74d0f1715fa098d9b5f51b
Inspect preserved source fields
release_record
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Review history

— Evidence v0.3: EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE; supplied verdict LATE. Wireless voice and webcam meetings were real, but ordinary handset video calling was not yet routine in 2009. Integrated phone cameras, mobile video services and established consumer communication platforms make the function ordinary by the 2010s.

Related forecasts.

No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.