- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"HIGH","at_review":"HIGH"},"timing_confidence":"LOW","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Rotating magnetic and optical computer storage is fully replaced by electronic storage.","at_deadline":"NOT_FULFILLED","at_review":"NOT_FULFILLED","rationale":"Hard drives remained substantial in 2019; solid-state adoption did not amount to full replacement. Seagate’s 2026 32 TB drive rollout provides a direct current counterexample. “Fully replaced” is genuinely stronger than “widely available.”","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Hard drives remained substantial in 2019; solid-state adoption did not amount to full replacement.","at_review_rationale":"Seagate’s 2026 32 TB drive rollout provides a direct current counterexample. “Fully replaced” is genuinely stronger than “widely available.”","evidence_source_ids":["N14"],"verdict":"WRONG","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"Rotating magnetic and optical computer storage is fully replaced by electronic storage.","at_deadline":"NOT_FULFILLED","at_review":"NOT_FULFILLED","rationale":"Hard drives remained substantial in 2019; solid-state adoption did not amount to full replacement. 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Seagate’s 2026 32 TB drive rollout provides a direct current counterexample. “Fully replaced” is genuinely stronger than “widely available.”","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P02","locator":"P02 2019 computing, rotating-memories paragraph","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N14","locator":"Current counterexample to complete displacement of rotating magnetic storage; shipping announcement for January 14, 2026.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment."],"legacy_relations":[]}