- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"MEDIUM","at_review":"MEDIUM"},"timing_confidence":"LOW","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Routine calls offer three-dimensional physical-presence realism using the specified direct-eye or holographic display systems.","at_deadline":"NOT_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Ordinary 2019 video calls did not deliver the asserted 3D physical-presence experience and acuity. Google Beam/HP Dimension demonstrates a serious enterprise 3D telepresence direction, but not routine consumer calls or proven above-human acuity.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Ordinary 2019 video calls did not deliver the asserted 3D physical-presence experience and acuity.","at_review_rationale":"Google Beam/HP Dimension demonstrates a serious enterprise 3D telepresence direction, but not routine consumer calls or proven above-human acuity.","evidence_source_ids":["N34","N46"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"Routine calls offer three-dimensional physical-presence realism using the specified direct-eye or holographic display systems.","at_deadline":"NOT_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Ordinary 2019 video calls did not deliver the asserted 3D physical-presence experience and acuity. Google Beam/HP Dimension demonstrates a serious enterprise 3D telepresence direction, but not routine consumer calls or proven above-human acuity.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"at_deadline_rationale":"Ordinary 2019 video calls did not deliver the asserted 3D physical-presence experience and acuity.","at_review_rationale":"Google Beam/HP Dimension demonstrates a serious enterprise 3D telepresence direction, but not routine consumer calls or proven above-human acuity.","evidence_source_ids":["N34","N46"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Convincing 3D telepresence exists in practical specialist systems, without routine adoption or retinal implementation.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Beam’s light-field demonstration/commercial platform realizes the central presence function by 2025. This is a capability assessment, not proof of installed scale.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":["Routine use","Direct-eye implementation","Above-human acuity"],"kind":"ALTERNATIVE_READING","documented_by_year":2025,"evidence_source_ids":["N34","N46"],"verdict":"LATE","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":null,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"UNESTABLISHED","label":"Not fully realized by 2026-10-15; overdue, not an observed delay","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[],"is_new_in_v03":true,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K075","slug":"k075-calls-provide-convincing-three-dimensional-presence","title":"Calls provide convincing three-dimensional presence","prediction_paraphrase":"Calls provide convincing three-dimensional presence","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Interfaces & virtual worlds","tags":[],"subcategory":"","claim_type":"ADOPTION","family_id":"K075","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":[],"origin":"NEW_SOURCE_EXTRACTION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_OR_RETROSPECTIVE","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"ATTRIBUTED_1999"},"target":{"text":"2019","deadline_year":2019,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2019,"year_end":2019,"interpretation":"End of named target year."},"source_verification":{"state":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_CHECKED","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Routine calls offer three-dimensional physical-presence realism using the specified direct-eye or holographic display systems.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Ordinary 2019 video calls did not deliver the asserted 3D physical-presence experience and acuity.","at_review_rationale":"Google Beam/HP Dimension demonstrates a serious enterprise 3D telepresence direction, but not routine consumer calls or proven above-human acuity.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"PARTIAL","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"NOT_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":true,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Ordinary 2019 video calls did not deliver the asserted 3D physical-presence experience and acuity. Google Beam/HP Dimension demonstrates a serious enterprise 3D telepresence direction, but not routine consumer calls or proven above-human acuity.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P02","locator":"P02 2019 communications, holography/phone-call paragraph","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N34","locator":"Enterprise light-field telepresence, six-camera capture. Launch/availability plan supports capability and commercialization, not routine calls or demonstrated above-human acuity.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"},{"source_id":"N46","locator":"Primary institutional, research, or issuer source. Dates in the claim refer to the observation or product event, not the review date.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"A product announcement is evidence of a demonstrated capability and commercial offering, not of widespread deployment. The broader label is explicitly limited to practical specialist availability.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment."],"legacy_relations":[]}