- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"MEDIUM","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"MEDIUM","at_review":"MEDIUM"},"timing_confidence":"MEDIUM","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Ordinary users can access useful two-way speech translation for common languages in everyday contexts.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Google’s earlier conversation/speech products support this ordinary functional reading well before 2019. Practical translation is a success; errors in idioms, accents or specialist contexts do not justify demanding universal perfect translation.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2015,"at_deadline_rationale":"Google’s earlier conversation/speech products support this ordinary functional reading well before 2019.","at_review_rationale":"Practical translation is a success; errors in idioms, accents or specialist contexts do not justify demanding universal perfect translation.","evidence_source_ids":["O12","N20"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"High-quality human-equivalent interpretation is reliable across nearly all ordinary conversational contexts for most common language pairs.","at_deadline":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","at_review":"PARTLY_FULFILLED","rationale":"Availability and useful short exchanges do not establish professional-interpreter reliability in every relevant context.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"ALTERNATIVE_READING","documented_by_year":null,"evidence_source_ids":["O12","N20"],"verdict":"PARTIAL","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Ordinary users can access useful two-way speech translation for common languages in everyday contexts.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Google’s earlier conversation/speech products support this ordinary functional reading well before 2019. Practical translation is a success; errors in idioms, accents or specialist contexts do not justify demanding universal perfect translation.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2015,"at_deadline_rationale":"Google’s earlier conversation/speech products support this ordinary functional reading well before 2019.","at_review_rationale":"Practical translation is a success; errors in idioms, accents or specialist contexts do not justify demanding universal perfect translation.","evidence_source_ids":["O12","N20"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2019,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":2015,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"DOCUMENTED_BY","label":"Documented by 2015","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[],"is_new_in_v03":true,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K077","slug":"k077-practical-speech-translation-covers-common-language-pairs","title":"Practical speech translation covers common language pairs","prediction_paraphrase":"Practical speech translation covers common language pairs","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"AI & software","tags":[],"subcategory":"","claim_type":"CAPABILITY","family_id":"K077","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":[],"origin":"NEW_SOURCE_EXTRACTION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_OR_RETROSPECTIVE","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"ATTRIBUTED_1999"},"target":{"text":"2019","deadline_year":2019,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2019,"year_end":2019,"interpretation":"End of named target year."},"source_verification":{"state":"AUTHOR_ADAPTATION_CHECKED","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Ordinary users can access useful two-way speech translation for common languages in everyday contexts.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Google’s earlier conversation/speech products support this ordinary functional reading well before 2019.","at_review_rationale":"Practical translation is a success; errors in idioms, accents or specialist contexts do not justify demanding universal perfect translation.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"CORRECT","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":true,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Google’s earlier conversation/speech products support this ordinary functional reading well before 2019. Practical translation is a success; errors in idioms, accents or specialist contexts do not justify demanding universal perfect translation.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":2015,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P02","locator":"P02 2019 communications, high-quality speech-translation sentence","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"O12","locator":"Speech conversation mode expanded to 14 languages; still described as alpha. Not equivalent to translation quality or universal adoption.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"},{"source_id":"N20","locator":"Conversation and speech translation documented in product updates. Text-language counts must not be presented as speech-language counts; 44-language wearable speech support is separately identified.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"No clinical/legal interpretation recommendation. “High quality” is explicitly operationalized as useful everyday communication, not flawless or expert-grade output.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment.","An earlier documented instance could refine timing; the documented-by date is not claimed to be the invention year."],"legacy_relations":[]}