Majority of books read digitally by 2009
The located paper-like reading claim does not establish a majority of books. Even a majority of all reading is not a majority of books.
Attribution unresolved — outcome conditional on this wording
Most books are read electronically by 2009.
Conditional verdict: WRONG
At original deadline: NOT FULFILLED · By review: NOT FULFILLED
The majority threshold was not reached in 2009. Pew’s 2025 survey still shows far more print readers than e-book readers. That is a readership proxy, not a complete count of books/pages read; on the ordinary adoption reading the forecast remains a miss.
CORRECT for routine digital reading as an available format, without majority replacement.
Excluded from aggregate author accuracy. Conditional wording and related canonical versions are never counted twice.
O05N66Reconciled records & related versions
A link can identify a related version, split claim, or unresolved attribution; it does not establish equivalence.
K013Paper-like displays and routine electronic readingDisposition sources: P01
The original imported lead.
Majority of books read digitally by 2009
1999 · Attribution / year unconfirmed
Page, edition, or timestamp not yet established
- Normalized claim
- Not established. The testable claim will be written after the original wording is checked.
- Success criteria
- Not established. Thresholds, adoption requirements, geography, cost, and required technology must be retained during review.
- Claim type
- Not classified
Timeline
Supplied target wording: 2009. No confirmed date is used in calculations. Forecast horizon: not established. Drift is a calendar-year difference, not a precise elapsed duration.
The evidence.
No outcome evidence has been verified.
Legacy ratings are preserved in the source package. They have not been accepted as evidence for this assessment.
Capability, adoption, and timing
A related breakthrough is not automatically fulfillment. Review must check the actual capability, how widely it was required to be used, the specified technology, and the original deadline. A prototype cannot establish a claim about routine or widespread use.
Research notes & history
Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
Open questions
- Check the original wording, attribution, and publication date.
- Establish the deadline and full success criteria.
- Resolve repetitions and related forecast versions.
- Find independent evidence for the deadline and review outcomes.
- Imported from
- kurzweil_prediction_intake_v0_1.csv · CSV row 43
- Legacy identifier
- DEC-012
- Forecast family
- Not assigned
- Parent statement
- DEC-012
- File checksum
- dcf2f213917bfaccdcdd45a7b98b5db4243cda090687358879d5ed53838f3bb2
Inspect preserved source fields
- Record ID
- DEC-012
- Prediction — imported lead
- Majority of books read digitally by 2009
- Primary category — draft
- Computing hardware
- Subcategory / secondary tags
- Computing
- Claimed source — legacy
- Age of Spiritual Machines (1999)
- Source year — unconfirmed
- 1999
- Target text — legacy
- 2009
- Confirmed deadline year
- (blank)
- At-deadline outcome
- UNREVIEWED
- Outcome at review
- UNREVIEWED
- First full-achievement year
- (blank)
- Review year
- 2026
- Review state
- UNREVIEWED
- Canonical for statistics?
- NO
- Forecast family ID
- (blank)
- Parent statement ID
- DEC-012
- Prediction source URL
- (blank)
- Page / paragraph / timestamp
- (blank)
- Outcome evidence URLs
- (blank)
- Success criteria / scope
- (blank)
- Original wording checked?
- NO
- Adoption stage / claim type
- (blank)
- Date precision / target interval
- (blank)
- Review notes
- Imported research lead only. Verify attribution, deadline, scope and outcome; do not inherit the legacy score. Draft category needs review.
- Legacy import ID
- DEC-012
- Display status
- UNREVIEWED
- Drift — years
- (blank)
- Overdue — years
- (blank)
- Due and eligible
- 0
- On-time full hit
- 0
- Full realization hit
- 0
- Publication year confirmed
- (blank)
Review history
— Evidence v0.2: The located paper-like reading claim does not establish a majority of books. Even a majority of all reading is not a majority of books.
— QUARANTINE_SCOPE_DISTORTION: The located paper-like reading claim does not establish a majority of books. Even a majority of all reading is not a majority of books. Original record retained; no automatic redirect or score inherited.
Related forecasts.
No forecast family has been resolved for this record. Related statements and revised deadlines will be linked during research.