- release_record
- {"population_scope":"Technology markets and relevant users; no universality unless the forecast expressly requires it.","attribution_confidence":"MEDIUM","interpretation_confidence":"HIGH","outcome_confidence":{"at_deadline":"HIGH","at_review":"HIGH"},"timing_confidence":"MEDIUM","date_uncertainty_affects_verdict":false,"interpretations":{"reference":{"criterion":"Small book-sized displays provide high contrast, readable resolution, broad viewing angles and no distracting flicker; digital reading is routine.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions. The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2007,"at_deadline_rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions.","at_review_rationale":"The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","evidence_source_ids":["O05"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"strict":{"criterion":"Small book-sized displays provide high contrast, readable resolution, broad viewing angles and no distracting flicker; digital reading is routine.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions. The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2007,"at_deadline_rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions.","at_review_rationale":"The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","evidence_source_ids":["O05"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true},"broader":{"criterion":"Small book-sized displays provide high contrast, readable resolution, broad viewing angles and no distracting flicker; digital reading is routine.","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions. The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","relaxed_or_changed_conditions":[],"kind":"REFERENCE_READING","documented_by_year":2007,"at_deadline_rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions.","at_review_rationale":"The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","evidence_source_ids":["O05"],"verdict":"CORRECT","same_as_reference":true,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"deadline_year":2009,"outcome_assessment_complete":true}},"timing":{"first_full_achievement_year":null,"documented_by_year":2007,"achievement_interval_years":null,"kind":"DOCUMENTED_BY","label":"Documented by 2007","drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null},"deduplication":{"is_canonical":true,"is_repeated_identical_claim":false,"counting_unit":"DISTINCT_FORECAST_VERSION","note":"Different deadlines or materially different thresholds remain separate versions; identical legacy repetitions are linked, not recounted."},"revision_history":[{"from_version":"0.2","previous_assessment":{"review_state":"ASSESSED","verdict":"PARTIAL","as_of":"2026-10-14","at_deadline":"PARTIAL","at_review":"FULL_FULFILLMENT_NOT_ESTABLISHED","confidence":"MEDIUM","disputed_interpretation":false,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"The 2007 Kindle provided a paper-like electronic display and wireless books, newspapers and magazines. That establishes a substantial realization, but this review does not equate its 167-ppi display with every quality of paper or establish the full adoption scope.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"change_reason":"Complete deadline/current outcome assessment under explicit scope; separate uncertainty from verdict."}],"is_new_in_v03":false,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K013","slug":"k013-paper-like-displays-and-routine-electronic-reading","title":"Paper-like displays and routine electronic reading","prediction_paraphrase":"Paper-like small displays support routine electronic reading.","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Interfaces & virtual worlds","tags":["e-ink","display quality"],"subcategory":"Electronic reading","claim_type":"ADOPTION","family_id":"K013","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":["AUD-015"],"origin":"LEGACY_RECONCILIATION","publication":{"forecast_year":1999,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ARCHIVE_REPRINT","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"SUPPORTED_BY_LISTED_SOURCE"},"target":{"text":"2009","deadline_year":2009,"precision":"YEAR","year_start":2009,"year_end":2009,"interpretation":null},"source_verification":{"state":"TEXT_CONFIRMED_IN_LISTED_SOURCE","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Small book-sized displays provide high contrast, readable resolution, broad viewing angles and no distracting flicker; digital reading is routine.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions.","at_review_rationale":"The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"CORRECT","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","confidence":"HIGH","disputed_interpretation":false,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Kindle’s 2007 electronic-paper display and wireless book delivery materially meet the listed visual and reading functions. The forecast did not require all books to abandon print or the screen to share every physical property of paper.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":2007,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P01","locator":"The Computer Itself, prediction 16, printed p. 24","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"O05","locator":"","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment.","An earlier documented instance could refine timing; the documented-by date is not claimed to be the invention year."],"legacy_relations":[{"legacy_id":"AUD-015","relation":"CORRECT_SCOPE"},{"legacy_id":"DEC-012","relation":"QUARANTINE_SCOPE_DISTORTION"}]}