- release_record
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Earlier AR systems require primary-source checking before assigning a date.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":null,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":false,"withheld_reason":"Future, unresolved, intrinsically unscorable, or interpretation-dependent; see assessment."},"change_reason":"Complete deadline/current outcome assessment under explicit scope; separate uncertainty from verdict."}],"is_new_in_v03":false,"counting_policy":{"unit":"distinct_forecast_version","identical_repetitions_count_once":true,"alternative_interpretations_count_once":true,"legacy_conditional_rows_count":false},"id":"K018","slug":"k018-augmented-reality-overlays","title":"Augmented-reality overlays","prediction_paraphrase":"Digital displays overlay guidance on the real world.","wording_kind":"EDITORIAL_PARAPHRASE","original_quote":null,"primary_category":"Interfaces & virtual worlds","tags":["visual overlays"],"subcategory":"Augmented reality","claim_type":"CAPABILITY","family_id":"K018","parent_statement_id":null,"legacy_ids":["AUD-019"],"origin":"LEGACY_RECONCILIATION","publication":{"forecast_year":2005,"year_basis":"AUTHOR_ARCHIVE_REPRINT","original_book_edition_checked":false,"forecast_year_status":"SUPPORTED_BY_LISTED_SOURCE"},"target":{"text":"2010 in the author retrospective’s early-2010s grouping.","deadline_year":2010,"precision":"EDITORIAL_REFERENCE_YEAR","year_start":2010,"year_end":2010,"interpretation":"2010 in the author retrospective’s early-2010s grouping."},"source_verification":{"state":"TEXT_CONFIRMED_IN_LISTED_SOURCE","confidence":"MEDIUM","book_text_not_independently_collated":true},"success_criteria":"Digital instructions or information overlay the user’s view of the physical world.","assessment":{"at_deadline_rationale":"Nomad’s deployed see-through repair guidance already provided the functional overlay before 2010.","at_review_rationale":"The availability claim is met; we do not require everyone to wear AR glasses.","verdict_qualifier":null,"outcome_evidence_basis":"DIRECT_AND_CONTEXTUAL_EVIDENCE_WITH_EXPLICIT_EDITORIAL_INTERPRETATION","attribution_is_separate":true,"first_event_date_required_for_verdict":false,"at_review_semantics":"FULL_REALIZATION_HAS_OCCURRED_BY_REVIEW_NOT_NECESSARILY_CURRENT_PRODUCT_SALES","review_state":"EDITORIAL_ASSESSMENT_COMPLETE","verdict":"CORRECT","as_of":"2026-10-15","at_deadline":"FULFILLED","at_review":"FULFILLED","confidence":"HIGH","disputed_interpretation":false,"benchmark_ready":true,"rationale":"Nomad’s deployed see-through repair guidance already provided the functional overlay before 2010. The availability claim is met; we do not require everyone to wear AR glasses.","first_full_achievement_year":null,"full_achievement_documented_by_year":2004,"drift_years":null,"drift_range_years":null,"still_unfulfilled_as_of_review":false,"eligible_for_deadline_metrics":true,"withheld_reason":null},"prediction_sources":[{"source_id":"P01","locator":"The Singularity Is Near predictions for 2010, prediction 7, printed p. 132","role":"FORECAST_ATTRIBUTION"}],"evidence":[{"source_id":"N04","locator":"Microvision-issued release hosted by The Auto Channel: actual industrial deployment. Head-worn see-through retinal display; not ordinary prescription-glasses styling or mass consumer adoption.","role":"OUTCOME_EVIDENCE"}],"limitations":"Assessment is conditional on the stated criterion and population. Documented examples establish availability, not universal adoption. The original book edition has not been independently collated.","open_questions":["Original-edition collation remains an attribution task; it does not erase the stated outcome assessment.","An earlier documented instance could refine timing; the documented-by date is not claimed to be the invention year."],"legacy_relations":[{"legacy_id":"AUD-019","relation":"HOLD_FIRST_DATE"}]}